الاثنين، 11 فبراير 2008

Brokers Criteria

General criteria to choose a Forex Broker to trade withBefore you decide to trade forex, you will have to choose which broker or dealer is the most compatible with your trading style and requirements. You should ask a few questions before opening an account with a forex broker to determine which company best meets your needs1. Is the broker or dealer regulated? If so, in which country is it regulated
Not all countries regulate the same way, nor do they have the same regulatory environment and requirements when it comes to financial registration. Therefore, it is important for any investor/trader to choose a foreign exchange broker that is based in a country where their activities are monitored by a regulatory agency. It is also important to know if the broker or dealer is regulated in an on- or off-shore country, as the latter can be more liberal with registration requirements
Countries with dedicated regulatory agencies includeUSA
UK
Eurozone
Japan
Australia
Switzerland
All types of traders need to be aware of their broker or dealer’s regulatory status and have a clear understanding of the regulatory body that governs forex activity where the selected broker or dealer does business
2. Is the company a broker or a dealerUnderstanding the nature of a broker versus a dealer is always an important task, as there are currently a few different types of companies to work with for over-the-counter forex trading (OTC FX)
(a) Dealing directly with a market maker or “dealer.” Each market maker has a “dealing desk,” which is the traditional method that most banks and financial institutions use. Market makers provide two-way pricing to customers throughout the day. These prices sometimes are quoted on a “fixed” basis, meaning that they do not move throughout the day, while other firms use a dynamic spread system, which means the prices change as the liquidity in certain pairs change. The market maker interacts with other market makers banks to manage their global FX positions/risk. Each market maker offers a slightly different price in a particular currency pair based on their global FX book. Banks, investments banks, broker/dealers, and FCMs make up the majority of this category. Market makers are compensated by their ability to manage their global FX risk. This may include spread revenue, netting revenue, and revenue on swaps and conversions of residual profits or losses(b) Dealing with a broker. A broker acts as a conduit between a customer and a market maker/dealer. The broker sends the customer’s order to another party to be executed by the dealing desk of the market maker. The spreads that the customer receives are dependant on the market maker or dealer that the broker routes the customer’s transactions through, and either a fixed or dynamic system can be used. Brokers generally charge fees for this service and/or are compensated by the market maker for the transactions that they route to the market maker/dealing desk(c) ECN brokerage model. In OTC forex, there is currently a modified broker method labeled “ECN.” This is not to be confused with the ECN term used in equities; they are different models altogether. The concept in OTC FX is very similar to point b above, except for the fact that the ECN acts as a broker to a variety of market makers or dealing desks. Each dealer sends a price to the ECN as well as a particular amount of volume that a quote is “good” for, and then the ECN distributes that price to the customer. The ECN is not responsible for execution, only the transmission of the order to the dealing desk from which the price was taken. In this system, spreads are determined by the difference between the best bid and the best offer at a particular point in time on the ECN. In this model, the ECN is compensated by fees charged to the customer plus a “kick-back” or “rebate” from the dealing desk based on the amount of volume or order flow that it is given from the ECNIt is important to point out that an ECN usually shows the volume available for trading each bid and offer, so the trader knows what maximum trade can be placed. ECN volume is only a reflection of what is available on any one ECN, not in the overall market. The market maker still sets its volume based on its comfort with its liquidity at any one point in time. The market maker’s responsibility is to provide liquidity under all conditions to its customers
3. How reliable is the broker’s trading platform
Depending on an individual’s hardware and software characteristics, one might prefer a desktop application or a web-based (java) application. Understanding which type of platform suits you best is critical for trading
It is also important to make sure that the trading platform does not crash or freeze often, especially during times of global economic news or events, when traders needs stability. The reliability of a platform should be more of a concern than its look and feelAn aggressive trader, or one who likes to make large, frequent trades, will always have to look for a stable platform that never or very rarely crashes. On the other hand, a passive and conservative trader who does not watch the market round-the-clock could be more flexible
4. What are the costs of trading
One must be aware of all the costs associated with trading with a certain broker and how the costs compare to those of other brokersCosts include the pip spread (the difference between the bid and ask prices), overnight interest and any other applicable transaction feesFor example, a broker offering a two-pip spread with a $12.50 commission per trade is more expensive than a three-pip spread broker, though the smaller spread may appear more attractive at first glance."Flashy" tight spreads in one or two majors can be deceiving, as they don’t call attention to inconsistent or wider spreads throughout the majors and crosses spread, so traders don’t get an accurate overall view of the broker’s procedures. Furthermore, brokers offering tight spreads may re-quote (offer a new quote, different from the original one) a price, increasing the costs per transaction and thus widening the spread "invisiblyAnother important factor is to know the broker’s stop-loss and limit policy. Depending on the policy, a trader may end up with closing prices that are worse than expected, as if the trade had higher execution costsAn important point traders should be aware of is how much volume they can trade at a single point in time without having to face a re-quote or even the lack of ability to place a trade. The trader is responsible for asking the broker about the liquidity it has for its clients and what happens if liquidity dries up\5. What are the real dealing size boundaries\Traders who place large orders will want to know the answer to this question. Traders whose buying power could exceed $10 million at any one time will need to look for a firm that has enough liquidity to guarantee a fill for their orders in most trading situations\6. Is the trading platform truly "user-friendly"\In trading terms, user-friendly means that placing an order or closing a trade can be done immediately. One-click trading and management of stop-loss, limit and other order types are advantages that a trader may want to take into account\In addition, it is helpful for the overall navigation of a platform to be user-friendly. If a platform offers additional charts and tools, they should be fairly simple to access and apply\This is a critical point for an aggressive trader (intraday/scalp) whose dependence on the trading platform is far greater than a moderate or conservative trader\7. Is the broker offering any added-value services\Easy access to real-time charts, news and economic data is a must for any trader. However, a trader must think of these and any other added-value service as part of the broker’s package rather than as the most important feature on which to base a decision.\This is a point a trader of any nature should address correctly to make sure the firm complies with the basic standards of providing real-time charts, news and economic events
Having someone always available to help answer questions and fix problems quickly are points a trader should look for when deciding which broker to open an account with. Customer service should not only be able to fix a trader’s occasional problem, but also be able to help prevent problemsThis point makes no distinction between the different types of traders, as all traders should view this as an important point9. Leverage and margin call policies
Foreign exchange traders tend to like higher leverages and sometimes choose a broker based only on this feature. However, traders should remember that although higher leverage can lead to higher profits, it also increases the level of risk. Also, take into account that there are brokers that offer fixed leverage levels, but some others adjust their leverage based on the currency that is being traded and may also have special policies for carrying a trade over the weekendTraders should also take into account their broker’s margin call policy. Some companies follow the FIFO (first in first out) method to close trades when margin requirements are not met by current equity, others follow the LIFO (last in first out) procedure, and some simply close all the trades. Depending on one’s preferences, this is an issue that should be clearly identified before opening an accountLeverage levels are more of a concern for aggressive traders who like to use the highest possible leverage, whereas a moderate or conservative trader would be happy with the average leverage levels

News and Events


Daily Forex News
Dollar steady after G7 weekend meeting


The Dollar is holding mostly steady early on Monday after a weekend meeting of industrialized nations passed with little comment on currencies, though the Euro found some support as the ECB challenged talk of early rate cuts. The Group of Seven (G7) finance ministers cautioned that the global credit crunch would drag on the world economy but left it to individual countries to take their own remedial action. The single currency was aided by European Central Bank President Jean-Claude Trichet who warned the market not to bet on a cut in interest rates because of persistent inflation pressures in the euro zone. Euro zone finance ministers also sounded relatively relaxed about the Euro's strength against the US Dollar. However, Investors still seem to be betting that Europe has not de-coupled completely from the United States and will be impacted badly enough to force a policy easing in coming months. Such speculation dragged the EurUsd down 3cts or 2.01% last week, taking it as low as 1.4440 at one point. On Friday, EurUsd edged up 0.26% to 1.4564. Ahead of Monday expected thin market as Tokyo is close while China is still celebrating Lunar New Year. UsdJpy was sitting at 107.31, unchanged, as risk aversion kept the Japanese currency underpinned. The biggest mover on Friday had been the Canadian dollar, which jumped after strong domestic employment data seemed to argue against aggressive rate cuts there. However, Bank of Canada Governor Mark Carney on the weekend said further rate cuts would likely be needed even though the economy had proved resilient so far. UsdCad was down 1.04% to 0.9989 at Friday close. AudUsd was holding firm at 0.8956, benefiting from speculation the Reserve Bank of Australia could raise rates again, having lifted them to an 11-year peak of 7% last week. The central bank issues its quarterly statement on monetary policy later on Monday and is expected to talk tough on inflation, leaving the door open for more tightening if the red-hot economy did not cool soon

News and Events




Dollar steady after G7 weekend meeting


The Dollar is holding mostly steady early on Monday after a weekend meeting of industrialized nations passed with little comment on currencies, though the Euro found some support as the ECB challenged talk of early rate cuts. The Group of Seven (G7) finance ministers cautioned that the global credit crunch would drag on the world economy but left it to individual countries to take their own remedial action. The single currency was aided by European Central Bank President Jean-Claude Trichet who warned the market not to bet on a cut in interest rates because of persistent inflation pressures in the euro zone. Euro zone finance ministers also sounded relatively relaxed about the Euro's strength against the US Dollar. However, Investors still seem to be betting that Europe has not de-coupled completely from the United States and will be impacted badly enough to force a policy easing in coming months. Such speculation dragged the EurUsd down 3cts or 2.01% last week, taking it as low as 1.4440 at one point. On Friday, EurUsd edged up 0.26% to 1.4564. Ahead of Monday expected thin market as Tokyo is close while China is still celebrating Lunar New Year. UsdJpy was sitting at 107.31, unchanged, as risk aversion kept the Japanese currency underpinned. The biggest mover on Friday had been the Canadian dollar, which jumped after strong domestic employment data seemed to argue against aggressive rate cuts there. However, Bank of Canada Governor Mark Carney on the weekend said further rate cuts would likely be needed even though the economy had proved resilient so far. UsdCad was down 1.04% to 0.9989 at Friday close. AudUsd was holding firm at 0.8956, benefiting from speculation the Reserve Bank of Australia could raise rates again, having lifted them to an 11-year peak of 7% last week. The central bank issues its quarterly statement on monetary policy later on Monday and is expected to talk tough on inflation, leaving the door open for more tightening if the red-hot economy did not cool soon
The Risk Today
EurUsd Dropped by 2.01% last week at 1.4504 having posted 1.4440 low. Medium term trading range is now 1.4366 – 1.4952. Market traded as low as 1.4940 on Wednesday. Market is turning over 1.4500 pivot support, where below it, market might look down for 1.4280 next support after trendline support holding 1.4311 December low. Initial resistance holds 1.4652 yesterday high
GbpUsd Cable lost 0.98% last week in a second consecutive lower market, returning below 1.9590 (38.2% retracement of 1.7049 – 2.1161 advance). Further pressure below 1.9500 might open the door toward 1.9337 January low and 1.9105 (50% retracement of 1.7049 – 2.1162 advance). Return in uptrend might be only confirmed over 2.0000 key level before 2.0100 resistance. Initial resistance holds 1.9590 former support
UsdJpy It remains weak below 108, having tested 104.97 low 23rd January and 105.77 low in February. Initial resistance holds 107.89 and strong resistance holds 110.10 mid January double top ahead of 111.92 early January high. Pressure will be relieved over 108. Meanwhile, current trend may look for 106 support and next 104.97 support ahead of 104.20 trendline supportUsdChf Posted a 2 ½ week high Thursday at 1.1104. Initial resistance holds 1.1123 late January high. Market might look for 1.1130 (38.2% of 1.1603 – 1.0838 decline)
Early January double top 1.1191 marks strong resistance. Initial support holds 1.0933 Thursday low, 2 figures away from previous week low 1.0732

Forex Gameplan Lesson

Forex Gameplan Lesson #3Fundamental Forex Strategy
Basic FOREX StrategyTechnical analysis and fundamental analysis are the two basic areas of strategy in the FOREX market which is the exact same as in the equity markets. However, technical analysis is by far the most common strategy that is used by individual FOREX traders. Here is a brief overview of both forms of analysis and how they directly apply to forex tradingFundamental AnalysisIf you think it's hard enough to value one company, you should try valuing a whole country instead. Fundamental analysis in the forex market is often an extremely difficult one, and it's usually used only as a means to predict long-term trends. However it is important to mention that some traders do trade short term strictly on news releases. There are a lot of different fundamental indicators of the currency values released at many different times. Here are a few of them to get you started
· Non-farm Payrolls · Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) · Consumer Price Index (CPI) · Retail Sales · Durable Goods
You need to know that these reports are not the only fundamental factors that you have to watch. There are also quite a variety of meetings where you can get some quotes and commentary that can affect markets just as much as any report. These meetings are often brought out to discuss any interest rates, inflation, and other issues that have the ability to affect currency values
Even changes in how things are worded when addressing certain issues such as the Federal Reserve chairman's comments on interest rates; can cause a volatile market. Two important meetings that you have to watch out for are the Federal Open Market Committee and Humphrey Hawkins HearingsJust by reading the reports and examining the commentary, it can help FOREX fundamental analysts to get a better understanding of any and all long-term market trends and also to allow short-term traders to be able to profit from extraordinary happenings. If you do decide to follow a fundamental strategy, you will want to be sure to keep an economic calendar handy at all times so you know when these reports are released. Your broker may also be able to provide you with real-time access to this kind of informationTechnical AnalysisJust like their counterparts in the equity markets, technical analysts of the FOREX trading market analyze price trends. The only real difference between technical analysis in FOREX and technical analysis in equities is the time frame that is involved in that FOREX markets are open 24 hours a day
Because of this, some forms of technical analysis that factor in time have to be modified so that they can work with the 24 hour FOREX market. Some of the most common forms of technical analysis used in FOREX are
· The Elliott Waves · Fibonacci studies · Parabolic SAR · Pivot points
A lot of technical analysts have a tendency to combine technical studies to make more accurate predictions on your behalf. (The most common method for them is combining the Fibonacci studies with Elliott Waves.) Others prefer to create trading systems in an effort to repeatedly locate similar buying and selling conditions
Choosing Your StrategyMost successful traders will develop a strategy and perfect it over a specific period of time. Some people will focus on one particular study or calculation, while still some others use broad spectrum analysis as a means of determining their trades. Most experts would likely suggest that you try using a combination of both fundamental and technical analysis, with which you can make long-term projections and also determine entry and exit points. Of course, in the end, it is the individual trader who has to decide what works best for him.
When you are ready to get started in the FOREX market, you should open a demo account and paper trade so that you can practice until you can make a consistent profit. Many people who fail have a tendency to jump into the FOREX market and quickly lose a lot of money because of a lack of experience. It is important to take your time and learn to trade properly before you start committing capital
You also need to be ale to trade without emotion. You can’t keep track of all stop-loss points if you don't have the ability to execute them on time. You must always set your stop-loss and take-profit points to execute automatically, and don't change them unless you absolutely have to. Make your decisions and stick to them. Otherwise you will drive yourself and your brokers crazy\You should also realize that you need to follow the trends. If you go against the trend, you are just messing with your money because the FOREX market tends to trend more often than anything else and you will have a higher chance of success in trading with the trend\The FOREX market is the largest market in the world, and every day people are becoming increasingly interested in it. But before you begin trading, make sure your broker meets certain criteria, and take the time to find a trading strategy that works for you